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Paul Pickering
997005
California
Phone
(805) 235-3221
Fax
(805) 528-5620
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(805) 235-3221
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(800) 540-0229 x133
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Bay Osos Brokers
1330 Van Beurden Drive Suite 101
Los Osos, CA 93402





Paul's Central Coast Market Update Blog

Paul's Central Coast Market Update Blog

Friday Jan 15, 2010

Top 5 Real Estate Mistakes to Avoid in San Luis Obispo County for 2010

1.  "Over Pricing Your Property:" Always be sure to look at my local area statistics so you can stay on top of what's happening in your area of the Central Coast. 

 Click to View my "Local SLO County Home Sales Statistics."    

2. "Not Looking for Good Deals:"   I have access to virtually all bank-owned homes (REOs) on the Central Coast.  Call me and I'll put an REO specific property search together for you! 

 Or, Click to Search the Central Coast MLS for Homes and Land.   

3. "Purchasing a Cheap Foreclosure:"   While foreclosures can offer homebuyers big discounts, these homes sometimes come with a great deal of deferred maintenance in the form of repairs requiring thousands to correct.                                                                                     

4. "Not Using the Government's Home-buying Tax Credits:" Specifically, $6,500 for "move-up" buyers and $8,000 for first-time buyers.  

5. "Avoid Short Sales:" Don't get involved with these unless there's only one recorded trust deed. If price really matters, concentrate on REOs (bank-owned homes); this is where the real bargains are in today's market.

Click to View my Article: "REOs vs. Short Sales, which is best? 

Click for a Free/No Obligation Market Analysis of your SLO County home

Click to Visit My Website at SLOhomes4sale.com

 Paul Pickering

Broker Associate, Bay Osos Brokers

CA DRE License #0997005

SEARCH ENGINE KEYWORDS

SLO COUNTY HOME PRICES

SLO COUNTY HOME VALUES

SLO COUNTY HOMES FOR SALE

SLO COUNTY HOME SEARCH

SLO COUNTY HOMES

SLO COUNTY MARKET ANALYSIS

SLO COUNTY CONDOS FOR SALE
SLO COUNTY REAL ESTATE FOR SALE
SLO COUNTY REALTORS

SLO County Home Sales: 2009 vs. 2008

2009 was a very challenging one for the Central Coast of California--especially as it applies to the number of foreclosures that dominated the market place. 

In that regard, the total number of homes sold for specific areas of San Luis Obispo County for 2009 was 2,711.* Last year's total this time was 2,689; in comparison, market volume was up by one percent over 2008 but prices were down from the previous year by approximately 20 percent:  the average price of a home for 2009 was $479,000; while ‘08's average price was $608,000. 

The average number of days homes spent on the market for 2009 was 99.  2008's average was 110. The average list-to-sales-price ratio for 2009 was 95 percent.  2008's average-list-to-sale-price ratio was 94 percent.  The average inventory of unsold homes for 2009 was 6.57 months.  2008's average was 7.37. 

*Click to View my 2009 Year-end Home Sales Totals for SLO County

Click for a Free/No Obligation Market Analysis of your SLO County home

Click to Visit My Website at SLOhomes4sale.com

 "Mr. Statistics" Paul Pickering

Broker Associate, Bay Osos Brokers

CA DRE License #0997005

SEARCH ENGINE KEYWORDS

SLO COUNTY HOME PRICES

SLO COUNTY HOME VALUES

SLO COUNTY HOMES FOR SALE

SLO COUNTY HOME SEARCH

SLO COUNTY HOMES

SLO COUNTY ANALYSIS

SLO COUNTY CONDOS FOR SALE
SLO COUNTY REAL ESTATE FOR SALE
SLO COUNTY REALTORS

Thursday Dec 03, 2009

San Luis Obispo County Home Prices and Values

Interested in finding out what your San Luis Obispo County home is currently worth?  If so,  

click for a Free/No Obligation Market Analysis of your San Luis Obispo home

In the meantime, here are the latest sales numbers, averages prices, and number of days homes are currently spending on the market in your Central Coast Area! 

 

Area

Total Sales

Average Sales Price

Market Time (days)

Cambria

93

729,000

128

Cayucos

26

773,000

114

Morro Bay

96

574,000

137

Los Osos

113 

436,000

97 

San Luis Obispo

194 

618,000

90 

Pismo Beach

62 

815,000

117

Arroyo Grande

200 

554,000 

102

Grover Beach

83 

347,000

95

Oceano

29 

307,000

97 

Nipomo

182 

424,000

94

Atascadero

246 

404,000

91

Paso Robles*

314 

323,000

94 

Templeton

86

689,000

136

 

All stats are for single family homes.  *Stats for Paso Robles include those within city limits only.All stats are derived from the Central Coast Multiple Listing Service and are subject to change & copyright law.  Copyright 2009

 Click to Visit My Website at SLOhomes4sale.com

 

 "Mr. Statistics" Paul Pickering

Broker Associate, Bay Osos Brokers

CA DRE License #0997005

 

SEARCH ENGINE KEYWORDS

SAN LUIS OBISPO / SLO COUNTY HOME PRICES

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY HOME VALUES

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY HOMES FOR SALE

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY HOME SEARCH

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY HOMES

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MARKET ANALYSIS

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CONDOS FOR SALE
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY REAL ESTATE FOR SALE
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY REALTORS

San Luis Obispo County Short Sale Homes: "Just Say, NO!"

        

If you are looking at a “short sale” to purchase, but the seller (or borrower) has a 1st trust deed and a 2nd, the likelihood of both lenders working out a solution is slim to none—particularly if a home’s value has continued to diminish during the short sale process (typically 6 months or longer).

 

 

So you know, a successful short sale on a home with both a 1st and 2nd trust deed is entirely contingent on the 2nd trust deed recouping a minimum of 10 percent on the current loan’s balance.  Furthermore, the actual close-of-escrow-ratio of homes being sold through a short sale process is less than one percent.

 

 

If you are one of the many who still believe that short sales are where the “deals” are, consider the following:   let’s say there’s a home you especially like and is being offered as a short sale . . .  it has a 1st TD loan balance of $325K and a 2nd TD loan balance of $100K, its current market value is $350K (via recent appraisal), and the 2nd TD note holder, in this case, is going to need to recoup a minimum of $10,000.  Even if the owner/borrower is presented with a full-price offer from a qualified buyer at $350K, you’ll see from the numbers (while adding a minimum estimate of $20,000 in closing costs) that the 2nd TD is not going to recoup their “minimum 10 percent.”

 

 

If the 2nd TD loan holder doesn’t get what they require to make the short sale happen, they will not grant the owner/borrower’s short sale request via the sale of the property.  If the 2nd TD loan holder refuses to grant the short sale, the 1st TD loan holder will then move to foreclose on the home, after which the home will come back onto the market as an REO (a.k.a real estate or bank-owned).  

 

 

Because banks take so long to make short sale-related decisions, and because values continue to decline in some areas, by the time a bank agrees to do a short sale, the borrower’s home may be worth less than a buyer’s previously-submitted offer reflects; thereby furthering to diminish any hopes of a successful short sale. Furthermore, if the value of the home has gone down, then the possibility of the buyer getting their loan is not likely either. 

 

 

Because banks aren’t in the business of being property owners, they are going to place the home back onto the market (typically below current market value) where it will be sold to the highest bidder.  As you can imagine, this can actually create the same kind of buying frenzy we’ve seen in the not-to-distant past. 

 

 

My suggestion to anyone wanting to either buy or sell via the short sale process is to do your homework.  With a call quick, I can help make this process even easier by verifying the number of loans on a property, the loan amounts, and most importantly, if and when a “Notice of Default” has been issued. 

 

 

This is important because if an NOD has been issued, it will provide an approximate “opportunity time line” as it applies to when the home will be foreclosed upon.  It will also keep you from wasting your time putting offers on homes offered as “short sale opportunities” —especially with the knowledge of junior lean holders’ 10 percent loan balance minimums and when a home is actually scheduled for foreclosure. 

 

 

So you know, when an NOD is filed on a property, the owner has 90 days to bring the loan current, including any back taxes.  If after 90 days the borrower is still in arrears, they are given an additional 20 days to pay the loan in full.  After that, the home is foreclosed upon.  If an NOD has yet to filed on a property, and with the time it’s taking to get banks to issue them, a prospective buyer could wait up to a full year or longer for a bank’s short sale decision.   

 

 

My advice:   “don’t get involved in a short sale purchase unless there’s only one mortgage lender with a 1st trust deed recorded on the property.  If price really matters, concentrate on REOs (bank-owned homes); this is where the real bargains are in today’s market. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Friday Aug 28, 2009

San Luis Obispo Rental Property Buying Guide

In the recent past, it’s made sense to buy rentals as it applied to both income and especially appreciation. Since the recent world-wide financial “realignment,” the term investment property has been redefined.  With the availability of rental property in abundance, rents are down; therefore, unless you pay cash for a rental, or make a very sizeable down payment, it’s very likely that the rent will not equal the monthly payment, insurance, taxes, (and) management expense. 

 If this is the case, you are losing money.

 If you are looking to write-off a sizable portion of your annual personal income, this may actually be a good opportunity; before the purchase of a “write off” rental, I highly recommend having your CPA help you analyze your options—especially as they may apply to a rental’s annual depreciation and property tax basis recapture—that way you can examine all of the necessary “tax” pieces of the investment property puzzle before moving forward with a purchase.  If you are in need of an experienced accountant, I know a couple of great CPAs (also clients) who would be happy to help you.        

 If you are making what might be considered a “tidy sum” above and beyond your expenses, your cash on cash/return on investment is typically going to be between two to three percent annually.  Not bad, but not great either, especially considering the headaches typically associated with a rental’s tenants, trash, toilets, and taxes.  If you need to sell the rental (for any reason), you’ll also need to factor in selling costs which could conceivable eliminate any gain you may have had via the income the rental produced.     

  If you are looking for a sound real estate investment these days, you should naturally consider a rental’s income opportunities, but more importantly, you should put a greater emphasis on long term appreciation as it applies to the actual return of your investment. This is why it’s vitally important to consider the quality of a property as it applies to its type (single family vs. condo) and most importantly, its location (the closer to the ocean the better—especially here on the Central Coast).

 In this regard, I’m advocating clients have a conservative “holding” plan of between five to ten years as it applies to a rental/investment property purchase.  This time period will conservatively allow an investor to progress from a negative cash flow to a positive one with the added advantage of increased appreciation as the economy eventually recovers. After all, appreciation is where the real money is in real estate investing.  

 Lastly, beware of anyone willing to put you into an investment property without recommending that you consult with your CPA first. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday Aug 19, 2009

San Luis Obispo home sales surge in July!

Continued from 1st blog entry for August  . . . . If you are going to put an offer on an REO,  you’d better make your first offer attempt your best, for as banks are not motivated to engage in counter offers and as such, usually take the best 1st offer presented to them. As far as prices remaining low, my guess is that this trend will continue until most REOs (bank owned) and short sale properties have been cleared from the market place.  Once the REO opportunities disappear, so will the great deals.

Current Market Numbers    The total number of homes sold for all areas (covered on my statistics page) thus far for 2009 is 986; last year’s total this time was 1035; so for last month, we are down volume-wise by five percent when comparing this year to last but up by four percent when comparing the last two 12-month periods.  The current average price of a home is $486,000 (see stats page for specific area averages).  2008’s average price was $608,000.    

Additionally, the average number of days that homes are currently spending on the market is 105.  2008’s average was 110.  Remember, this “Days on Market” figure is determined by the time a home goes onto the MLS and when it is reported as having been placed into escrow and noted as a “pending sale.” The current average list-to-sales-price ratio is just above 94.74 percent.  2008’s average-list-to-sale-price ratio was also 94 percent.  Lastly, the current inventory of unsold homes is 7.77 months.  2008’s average was 7.37.

 

 

 

 

Stay tuned to my next blog entry for more San Luis area home sale statictics . . . .

Tuesday Aug 04, 2009

SLO Area Home Sales Surge in July . . .

As I have been updating the sales number for July, I have noticed there has been a marked increase in the number of sales for virtually every area of the Central Coast for the last 30 days.  This, of course, is great news and can be credited to a number of factors; specifically, low interest rates and downward pressure on prices due in large part to the abundance of foreclosures.  This demand for distressed properties will continue to help stabilize the market as foreclosure inventories continues to diminish.  For the time being, however, if you are looking for a deal, they are out there.  Just be mindful of the following as it may apply to your search:

 

  1. Your best deal is a bank-owned property (REO) or an owner who may be motivated via competing bank-owned homes.
  2. Not all SLO county areas are alike as it applies to REOs; specifically, those found on the coast do not last long and typically generate multiple offers; REOs found in both the north and south county stick around a while longer but are ultimately sold within about a 30 to 60-day period. 

Stay tuned to next weeks blog entry for more Central Coast Home Sales Stats and Info! 

 

 

Monday Jul 20, 2009

Prices continue to create buying opportunities!

Continued from 2nd blog entry for July,       

Current Year-to-Date Statistics by Area

 

(or, everywhere I have clients; or, virtually every area of SLO County)

 

Area

Total Sales

Average Sales Price

Market Time (days)

Cambria

35

799,000

141

Cayucos

6

622,000

108

Morro Bay

31

427,000

150

Los Osos

29 

427,000

93 

San Luis Obispo

62 

650,000

96 

Pismo Beach

26 

936,000

132

Arroyo Grande

74 

529,000 

123

Grover Beach

30 

325,000

110

Oceano

14 

292,000

73 

Nipomo

73 

            443,000

92

Atascadero

92 

368,000

81

Paso Robles*

114 

321,000

102 

Templeton

26

622,000

127

All stats are for single family homes.  *Stats for Paso Robles include those within city limits only. All stats are derived from the Central Coast Multiple Listing Service and are subject to change & copyright law.     copyright 2009

 

 

Stay tuned for more Central Coast Home Stats in my next blog entry! 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday Jul 15, 2009

Prices continue to create buying opportunities . . .

2nd blog entry for July, 2009 . . .      Current Market Numbers    The total number of homes sold for all areas (covered on my statistics page) thus far for 2009 is 819; last year’s total this time was 884; so for last month, we are down volume-wise by about seven percent when comparing this year to last but up by two percent when comparing the last two 12-month periods.  The current average price of a home is $485,000 (see stats page for specific area averages).  2008’s average price was $608,000.     Additionally, the average number of days that homes are currently spending on the market is 103.  2008’s average was 110.  Remember, this “Days on Market” figure is determined by the time a home goes onto the MLS and when it is reported as having been placed into escrow and noted as a “pending sale.” The current average list-to-sales-price ratio is just above 94 percent.  2008’s average-list-to-sale-price ratio was also 94 percent.  Lastly, the current inventory of unsold homes is 7.54 months.  2008’s average was 7.37. Stay tuned for next week’s blog entry for more local area statistics! 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday Jul 07, 2009

Prices Continue to Create Buying Opportunities!

3rd Quarter 2009 update . . .   

 

If you’ve been looking to buy your own slice of Central Coast Paradise, rates and prices are continuing to cooperate.  This of course depends on what part of the county you are most interested in.  As I’ve been saying for a while now, the north and south counties of San Luis Obispo are a buyer’s heaven with all of the bank foreclosures (REO) currently available.  Combine these areas’ lower-than- normal prices with today’s great mortgage interest rates and you can really create some interesting possibilities for yourself, either as a 1st time home buyer or investor.  You must be quick, however, for as bank foreclosures are now seeing multiple offers.  If you are making an offer on an REO, prepare yourself to pay asking price and hope no one else offers above listing price.  REO availability varies drastically from area to area so call me as it may apply to the specific area you are looking in. 

 

As far as prices remaining low, again, I equate a lot of what’s happening with the slow/gradual, absorption of distressed properties which, currently seem to be skewing lower the entire county’s average home price number.  My guess is that this trend will continue until most REOs (bank owned) and short sale properties have been cleared from the market place.  Once the REO opportunities disappear, so will the great deals.

 

Stay tuned to my next blog entry for more information on actual home sales numbers for the Central Coast!   

 

 

Saturday May 30, 2009

3rd Quarter '09: Sales Volume Stable; Price still Down

June 2009 Blog Entry, "Sale Volume Stable; Prices still Down[Read More]

Thursday May 14, 2009

Central Coast 2nd Half 2009: what's in store?

2nd Blog entry for May, 2009 . . .

As I mentioned in my last entry, here are the current numbers (as of 5/1/09) for all of the regions of the Central Coast that I maintain clients. 

Current Year-to-Date Statistics by Area

(or, everywhere I have clients; or, virtually every area of SLO County)

 

Area

Total Sales

Average Sales Price

Market Time (days)

Cambria

28

878,000

169

Cayucos

5

623,000

122

Morro Bay

26

430,000

158

Los Osos

21 

406,000

70 

San Luis Obispo

46 

650,000

107 

Pismo Beach

20 

947,000

129

Arroyo Grande

59 

528,000 

126

Grover Beach

22 

339,000

114

Oceano

289,000

91 

Nipomo

50 

462,000

94

Atascadero

67 

355,000

87

Paso Robles*

88 

319,000

96 

Templeton

19

613,000

153

 

All stats are for single family homes.  *Stats for Paso Robles include those within city limits only.

All stats are derived from the Central Coast Multiple Listing Service and are subject to change & copyright law.   

Thursday Apr 30, 2009

2nd Half 2009: More "Doom" or More "Opportunity?"

In spite stabilizing sales volume numbers as reported last month,” REOs (bank foreclosures) and short sales continue to put downward pressure on local home prices. 

 

I equate a lot of what’s happening with this on the slow, yet gradual, absorption of distressed properties (including short sales), which, in my opinion, are skewing lower the entire county’s average home price number.  My guess is that this trend will continue until most, if not all, of these “toxic properties” have been cleared from the market place.  How much longer, you may ask? . . .  

 

 There is speculation that there will be “another huge wave of foreclosures” caused by the default of adjustable rate “liar” loans that are scheduled to reset to higher interest rates in the next several months.  However, if the current rate of distressed property absorption is any indication, if this “new wave” actually materializes, it’s likely that these homes too will be smartly snatched up by a 2nd battalion of ready, willing and able buyers.  The reason for this is that with all of the uncertainty these days, first time buyers and investors are looking for something “tangible” with which to invest.  Real Estate addresses that “tangible” and may continue to do so for the foreseeable future.     

 

That said, and as I’ve been saying for a while now, rates are about as low as they will most likely get.  If you are looking to buy you couldn’t have picked a better time-- especially with prices at an all-time low.

 

If you are thinking of selling, these same great rates still play a big role in getting your home sold.  If you are thinking of doing either, call me so that I help you

find the perfect house or get your home listed before rates go up; and, believe me, they will—especially with all of the new inflation-causing “stimulus money” floating around out there!

                                                                                                                                                         

Current Market Numbers    The total number of homes sold for all areas (covered on my statistics page) thus far for 2009 is 459; last year’s total this time was 524; so for last month, we are down volume-wise, year-to-date, but down by only one percent when comparing the last two 12-month periods.  The current average price of a home is $487,000 (see stats page).  2008’s average price was $564,000.    

 

Additionally, the average number of days that homes are currently spending on the market is 111.  2008’s average was 110.  Remember, this “Days on Market” figure is determined by the time a home goes onto the MLS and when it is reported as having been placed into escrow and noted as a “pending sale.” The current average list-to-sales-price ratio is just under 94 percent.  2008’s average-list-to-sale-price ratio was also 94 percent.  Lastly, the current inventory of unsold homes is 7.60 months.  2008’s average was 7.37.

Stay tuned to my next blog entry for more statistics from the beautiful Central California Coast! 

Copyright 2009

 

Thursday Apr 02, 2009

Is Our Market "Stabilizing?"

April "Stabilizing?" 1st entry[Read More]

Friday Mar 20, 2009

Paradise now affordable, 3rd entry

March 3rd entry on Stats[Read More]

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Paul Pickering
997005
California
Phone
(805) 235-3221
Fax
(805) 528-5620
Mobile
(805) 235-3221
Toll Free
(800) 540-0229 x133
Bay Osos Brokers
1330 Van Beurden Drive Suite 101
Los Osos, CA 93402


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